Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal

<1>Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal

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Tottenham have completely fallen into crisis this season. After a short and unsuccessful spell under their previous coach, Croatian manager Igor Tudor has taken over, and this match will mark his debut on the Spurs bench. Tudor is known for his three-center-back system and defensive structure.

It’s hard to imagine that the defending UEFA Europa League champions have entered the final ten rounds of the league sitting 16th in the table, just four points above the relegation zone. Many Tottenham supporters believe the managerial change should have come earlier, especially after consecutive defeats to Manchester United and Newcastle United. Since the start of 2026, Spurs have collected only four points in eight league matches and remain the only Premier League team without a league win in the new year.

Tudor’s appointment may bring a psychological boost—interestingly, he won his debut matches at Hellas Verona FC, Olympique de Marseille, SS Lazio, and Juventus.

However, Tottenham’s home form is extremely poor: just two wins from 13 league home games, ranking third worst in the league. On top of that, they are dealing with a severe injury crisis, with as many as 11 players unavailable.

Arsenal’s recent form has also been underwhelming, drawing their last two away league matches. After Manchester City defeated Newcastle 2–1, Arsenal’s lead at the top has been reduced to two points.

Despite this, Arsenal still own the best away record in the Premier League this season. However, they have won only three of their last nine league away games and were held to a surprising 2–2 draw by Wolverhampton Wanderers in their previous match.

Even so, Arsenal remain clear favorites heading into the North London Derby. They have dominated recent meetings with eight wins, one draw, and one loss in the last ten clashes, including three consecutive away victories at Tottenham.

Arsenal are boosted by the return of Martin Ødegaard and Kai Havertz. Although Bukayo Saka and Leandro Trossard picked up minor knocks against Wolves, both are expected to be available. Arsenal are likely to field their strongest possible lineup.

This could be one of the biggest ranking gaps seen in a North London Derby in recent seasons—one team fighting for the title, the other battling relegation. Arsenal must convert their disappointment from the Wolves draw into motivation to protect top spot, while Tottenham will rely on home advantage and new-manager momentum.

From a fundamental perspective—especially considering Tottenham’s injury problems and the overall squad quality gap—Arsenal hold the clear edge.

The opening Asian handicap gives Tottenham +1, the largest spread seen in recent seasons, and it may rise to +1.25.

Prediction: Away Win

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